Saturday, July 14, 2007

Iraqi Police Revolt Against US

Iraqi Police Revolt Against US

Battling US Troops

Iranian Connections Trigger Revolt


U.S. forces battled Iraqi police and gunmen Friday, killing six policemen, after an American raid captured a police lieutenant accused of leading an Iranian-backed militia cell, the military said.

Seven gunmen also died in the fight, a rare open street battle between American troops and policemen. Washington has demanded the government purge its police force of militants, and U.S. and Iraqi authorities have arrested officers in the past for militia links. But the Bush administration said in an assessment Thursday that progress on that front was "unsatisfactory."

The lieutenant was captured before dawn in eastern Baghdad, but the soldiers came under "heavy and accurate fire" from a nearby Iraqi police checkpoint, as well as intense fire from rooftops and a church, the military said in a statement.

As the Americans fired back, U.S. warplanes struck in front of the police position, without hitting it directly, "to prevent further escalation" of the battle, it said. There were no casualties among the U.S. troops, but seven gunmen and six of the policemen firing on the Americans were killed, the statement said.

The captured lieutenant was a "high-ranking" leader of a cell suspected of helping coordinate Iranian support for Shiite extremists in Iraq as well as carrying out roadside bombings against mortar attacks on U.S. and Iraqi forces, the military said. The lieutenant is believed to be linked to the Quds Force, a branch of Iran's elite Revolutionary Guards, it said.

A-O Analysis:

This incident underscores the intelligence reports that the A-O Weekly Newsletter has been mentioning indicating that the Iranian government is plotting to stage a nationwide Iraqi uprising against US forces in conjunction with pre-emptive Iranian ballistic missile strikes against US air and naval forces. Such action by Iran would occur in conjunction with Hezbollah and Syria invading Israel while Al Qaeda conducts widespread terror attacks in Europe and the continental USA.

As A-O understands the intelligence reports, Iranian plans call first for an overthrow of the Lebanese government beginning sometime after July 15th via Al Qaeda special attacks on the Lebanese government. Al Qaeda terror attacks in Europe and perhaps America would also precede Iranian military action against US forces.

The incident today suggests an American effort to pre-empt and or disrupt Iran's plans to trigger a general uprising inside Iraq. The fact that this US action comes within three days of the July 16th date for UN Security Council deliberations on Lebanon and Resolution 1701 suggests that the intelligence sources which A-O monitors is thought by US intelligence sources to be correct and are working to disrupt Iran's plans before they can begin.

While US forces have been involved in conducting crackdowns within Baghdad to prevent an uprising, this incident suggests that the US forces have hit a 'nerve' close to the date for the start of operations for a general uprising instigated by Iran. Whether or not an uprising develops remains to be seen. The incident today may have at least temporarily thwarted and set back Iranian plans to launch an uprising in conjunction with the planned turmoil for Lebanon slated to begin next Monday. For more details on today's incident. LINK here to an AP Newswire report.

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Israel vs. Hezbollah, Round 2

UPI Newswire Analysis For A Summer War, 2007

In an editorial analysis of the current Mideast situation, UPI's Arnaud de Borchgrave presents a comprehensive review of Iran's intentions for world dominance under the banner of Islam. Near the end of the article he notes the war signals suggesting that last year's Hezbollah-Israel conflict may resume yet this summer.

Arnaud de Borchgrave also notes:

There is little doubt Israel and Hezbollah are suiting up to resume last summer's 34-day war in which the Israel Defense Force came off second-best due to poor political and military leadership. Hezbollah is also shorthand for Syria and Iran.

He then goes on to briefly describe indications for a summer war in 2007 including a military clash between the US and Iran. The significance of de Borchgrave's article though, is to note that a mainstream media commentator is now mentioning the war possibilities. Until now, the mainstream media pundits have shied away from talk of a summer war. To read de Borchgrave's analysis, LINK here. Note the article is on 2 pages.

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US House Votes for

Iraqi Pullout in 4 Months

All Troops Out By Next April?

House Democrats defied a certain presidential veto and approved an Iraqi troop-withdrawal measure just hours after the White House released a report finding the Baghdad government has failed to meet several key benchmarks.

The House voted 223 to 201 to have U.S. troops out of Iraq by April. More details here.

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Heavy Lebanon Fighting Resumes

Terrorists Launch Rocket Bombardment

Members of the Fatah Islam terror group, allied to Al Qaeda are now responding to Lebanese army artillery bombardments with volleys of rockets. It is another indication that a civil war in Lebanon looms over the horizon. More details here.

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Protests Erupt in Pakistan

Hundreds of Islamic fundamentalists in Pakistan took to the streets on Friday at a rally to protest the Pakistani government's handling of the "Red Mosque" siege and assault by the Pakistani Army which left 75 radical Muslims and 10 soldiers dead. The radicals killed in the mosque had been campaigning for a return to Islamic (Sharia) Law in Pakistan's capital city.

During Friday prayers, Islamic fundamentalist clerics railed in sermons against the government's actions which may have well turned to the dead radicals into martyrs. Such status as martyrdom may well inspire an overthrow of the Pakistani government. Look for Al Qaeda to soon weigh in on the incident with a new call for the overthrow of the Pakistani government. As a result of the incident, the Pakistani military remains on "high alert" for more problems. For more details on the protests, LINK here.

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Pakistan Cracks Down on Militants

In the wake of the week-long siege of militants holed up in a mosque in the capital city of Pakistan that resulted in a blood assault leaving more than 50 militants dead, Pakistan's government has begun a general crackdown against Taliban-oriented militants. Such a move could very well lead to a downfall of the Pakistani government. More details on the crackdown, LINK here.

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Hezbollah Leader Warns

Mideast Won't Be Calm If Iran Is Attacked

LINK

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Jordan's King Says...

Next Few Weeks Critical

For Mideast Peace

In a meeting between Jordan's King Adbullah and Canadian Prime Minister Stephen Harper, the King indicated that the next few weeks are critical for peace in the Middle East. King Abdullah said that Jordan and other nations were working as a team to bring Israel and the Palestinians closer together.

The King made his remarks during a visit to Canada in hopes of persuading Canada to take a greater role in the Middle East peace process. For more details, LINK here.

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Iran OK's New UN Nuke Inspections

LINK

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Iran Asks Japan To Pay for Oil In Yen Not Dollars

Iran asked Japanese refiners to switch to the yen to pay for all crude oil purchases, after Iran's central bank said it is reducing holdings of the U.S. dollar.

Iran wants yen-based transactions ``for any/all of your forthcoming Iranian crude oil liftings,'' according to a letter sent to Japanese refiners that was signed by Ali A. Arshi, general manager of crude oil marketing and exports in Tehran at the National Iranian Oil Co. The request is for all shipments ``effective immediately,'' according to the letter, dated July 10 and obtained by Bloomberg News. This may be another indication that Iran is anticipating a coming military conflict with the United States. More details from Bloomberg News - LINK here.

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Oil to $80 Barrel?

Due To Supply Shortages

Oil prices reached the $77 mark briefly on Thursday in London amid reports that oil supplies are running short of demand this summer. New York oil prices were rising in sympathy but supply disruptions in Britain are not impacting as hard on New York traders where oil prices settled on Friday at just under the $74 mark. Some Oil traders in Britain are expecting oil prices to reach the $80 mark in the near future but New York traders believe that severe resistance will halt trading this year at the $77.50 level unless something dramatic developes in the Middle East.

British prices are rising due in part to maintenance work on oil facilities in Britain's North Sea oil fields. Another issue affecting prices was a report predicting that demand for oil would exceed production capacity for the next five years. Tensions in the Middle East are also underlying the support for higher oil prices. More details here

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China Developing

Artificial Weather Program

China is boasting that it now has the world's largest weather modification program. Details here.

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