shummer60 - Is the world spinning out of control? YES!
WORLD WAR 3 is BUILDING
SUDDENLY!!
ZionsCRY Commentary
I have reported WW3 building before. We have had a rest, a break, now it appears NK has lit the match.
Some things come out all at once and appear SUDDEN, when it is not actually that sudden. The single word
the LORD gave me a few years ago concerning the next attack on the USA was - SUDDENLY!
Duduman warned years ago, and I have carried his vision in ZionsCRY often.
Islam has threatened to destroy the USA. So has North Korea and other nations. When this occurs it
WILL NOT be sudden, but the deaf dumb and blind Americans will not have any idea its coming and will be in shock.
Now our enemy in thief is in our whitehouse. Our destruction has begun, yet most are still blind. All communications
could be cut off SUDDENLY. We could lose electricity SUDDENLY, at least in some areas. WHAT WILL YOU DO?
When the whirlwind passes, the wicked is no more, But the righteous has an everlasting foundation.
Proverbs 10:25
I have had friends tell me 'something' is very near, imminent destruction, catastrophe, a whirlwind of GOD's fury, a turning point.
How interesting Israel calls their military exercise 'turning point.' A friend in Israel told me this summer is expected to be
a summer of 'significant events.' Wilkerson said 'catastrophe.' Others use other words.
I do not regard as foolish the possibility that the NKorea nuclear blast shook Earth and caused some quakes in the
Pacific - possibly even the Atlantic. It is ONE Earth.
People, along with the REAL will always come the FALSE. Already someone emailed me a particular known
FALSE PROPHET is yapping, copying the news. May the LORD shut their mouth.
DONT EVEN READ WHAT FALSE PROPHETS SAY!!!
KOREAN WAR
May 27 N Korea threatens military action. I DO NOT disregard this warning. That sawed off runt hates
the USA and would love to strike us before he dies. Missiles from NKorea could hit Japan, Hawaii, western USA.
NK has withdrawn from the truce that ended the Korean War in 1953. Thousands of US troops are there - PRAY for THEM!
NK fired another missile in Japan's direction, its sixth since conducting a nuclear test Monday.
Obama pledged to the defense of Japan. That I have to see to believe. North Korea and Iran are closely and secretly
coordinated on their military nuclear programs. ITS NOT a SECRET! Media just are not reporting it!
Was it IRAN's missiles tested in North Korea? Yonhap reports MORE missiles about to be shot off from NK.
RUMORVILLE
May 28 I KNOW NEWS is bad enough without the rumors, of what may - or may not - be true, but information
is a base for action. THE FIRST ACTION must be - PRAYER! I have no way to confirm RUMORS, so if anyone who
reads this can email me confirmation, I would appreciate it. The U.S. military stationed in Korea is tense, believing an
incident is imminent. IF the USA was going to nuke them, I wish our troops would be pulled OUT FIRST!
But we dont have a being in the whitehouse who cares about them.
RUMOR - The United States sent B-2 Stealth Bombers from Whiteman AFB in Missouri to Andersen AFB in Guam.
This would put the nuclear-armed bombers well within striking distance of North Korea. The B2s often play on Guam, not that new.
Patriot Missile Air Defense systems being moved to South Korea. Japan has them in place.
ISRAEL upgraded the Patriot and calls it ARROW.
RUMOR - A nuclear strike on North Korea is planned, it will be over in 2 days and the two Koreas will be reunited with
Seoul the capitol. I would be SHOCKED if that is true, because it would NOT be over! It would be the match to fully ignite WW3.
FACT - In February 2003, US Joint Chief of Staff Gen. Richard Myers said North Korea is one of the targets for nuclear attacks.
RUMOR - The US Army has moved their alert level to DEFCON 2 due to the alarming situation in North Korea. The US Army
has over 35,000 (? several numbers) troops stationed in South Korea. The South Koreans and the Americans,
may be positioning themselves for a preemptive strike.
Standard peacetime protocol is DEFCON 5, descending in increasingly severe situations. DEFCON 1 represents
expectation of actual imminent attack. DEFCON 1 was feared because it would most likely precede an all-out nuclear war.
DEFCON 2 refers to increase in force readiness just below maximum readiness. The most notable time it was
declared was during the Cuban Missile Crisis.
(WATCHCON and THREATCON are not DEFCON. DEFCON refers to the over-all state between ALL the armed forces.)
PAKISTAN WAR
May 27 Car Bomb in Pakistan Kills at Least 33. Gunmen detonated a car bomb in Lahore,
killing about 33 people and wounding at least 250 others. Rescuers are searching the rubble of a police building.
Gunmen reportedly opened fire on guards before detonating a car bomb which flattened the emergency response
building at police HQ.
Taliban linked the attack. My guess is this looks more like Al Qaeda. Long story there. NWO operation.
4 men with rifles stepped from the car and opened fire, then set off a massive blast when security guards returned fire.
Lahore is the country's second-largest city and sits near the Indian border.
Russia in Persian Gulf
May 27 Russian warships are due in Bahrain where the US Fifth Fleet is in the Persian Gulf.
They will be following in the wake of the Russian vessels already docked at Oman.
Their arrival is coordinated with IRAN.
Iranian warships have taken up positions in the Gulf of Aden, the Russians are moving naval units southeast
into the Persian Gulf. Russian and Iranian naval movements in the two strategic seas are
synchronized at the highest levels in Tehran and Moscow. PAY ATTENTION!
Iran sent 6 warships to international waters.
Iran has secretly established a new base on an Indian Ocean shore, right under the nose of the US Navy.
The USAF has a Diego Garcia base in the Indian Ocean
Will Israel bomb IRAN in days?
0bama will object strenuously to an Israeli strike against Iran. The US military has at least one base inside Israel.
What would Obama do? Would he attack Israel from WITHIN should she bomb Iran? I wouldnt put it past him.
ISRAEL - Turning Point 3
Are you ready for war?
The largest war simulation in the history of Israel is set to take place across the country for 5 days, beginning with a
battle in Gaza on Sunday, May 31. Netanyahu stressed that this is a routine drill that was planned several months ago
and is held annually to test coordination between the civilian and military networks.
Israel preparing for war on at least 3 fronts. She expects simultaneous missile strikes from Syria, Hellzballah in Lebanon, Iran and Hamas "Palestinian" terrorists.
The name of this exercise will be called Turning Point 3.
Taliban taking control of Pakistan nuclear weapons is a big threat.
Russia and China are encouraging Islamic crazies in hopes of reaping the benefits of being the new super-power after the dust settles. (PAY ATTENTION!)
USA vs ISRAEL, NO longer allies
A Turning Point is here
What an awful section I must begin in ZionsCRY. That the USA is no longer a friend to Israel, but rather a pal to
her enemies and the enemies of the ONE TRUE GOD is certainly NOT fun for me. However ... HOWEVER ...
Bible prophecy WILL be fulfilled and the devil in the whitehouse is bringing that to pass rapidly.
GOD knew and told us long ago that ALL nations would forsake Israel.
Korea at DEFCON 1?
May 21, 2009
Based upon this article in Yahoo! and an article earlier today from Joonang Ilbo, I estimate that as a minimum US Forces, Korea has gone to DEFCON 1 and I suspect that Pacific Command is at DEFCON 2 as a minimum. I base this on my year of service in Korea from October 1975 to October, 1976 which time included the "Tree War". At that time I was an F-4 Weapons Systems Officer and squadron additional duty plans officer with the 80th Tactical Fighter Squadron (Juvats) at Kunsan Air Base.
Many of the articles I have read over the past few days indicate that the driving force behind this current "temper tantrum" is the United Nations Security Council rebuke for the Taepodong-2 test that failed to stage and crashed into the sea. Many other articles have opined that the real problem is succession. Their theory is that Mr. Kim, knowing his time on this Earth is severely limited after his last medical problem, is pressing for the guaranteed survival of the DPRK so he can name his successor.
At this point I'm not sure that the reason makes any difference. I believe we are at a point where if Kim backs down, he incurs a catastrophic loss of face. Add to that the cessation of the behind the scenes support from South Korea that occurred under the Roh government. Mr. Kim has also ejected the World Food Program from the DPRK. Since all information on North Korean agriculture appears to be classified at the SECRET level, we don't have access to the LANDSAT photos that would allow us to know the condition of agriculture in the DPRK. We don't even know if the KPA participated in the Spring Planting. Considering that they were supposedly on war alert for the Taepodong-2 launch, their participation is in serious question. If the KPA did NOT participate in the Spring Planting, that would be a strong indicator that the DPRK was not depending on this fall's harvest for food.
There are in the Soviet system only two times when you go to war: Summer and Winter. Spring and Fall occupy the army fully with planting or harvest. Why? Because the army has all of the vehicles needed to accomplish either without emptying the cities and sending them to the collectives. Since there is so much we do not know about the state of North Korean agriculture, we must make educated estimates of same. We do know that over the last five or six years, a significant amount of newly terraced land on the western hills was planted and then washed into the Yellow Sea by typhoons. This land at almost at once became arable and useless. There are few other areas in the DPRK where land may be adapted to agriculture that is not already in use and over use.
There is good reason why the United States does not destroy the various facilities of the DPRK that are causing so much consternation. The first reason, and the most important, is that the DPRK holds Seoul hostage. The Korean People's Army has about 11,000 artillery pieces and rocket launchers carefully concealed along and shortly behind the DMZ that target the area between the DMZ and the Han River. It is physically impossible to destroy these systems before they turn the heart of South Korea into rubble laden with chemical and biological agents. At worst for the South, these systems will have 24 hours to do their missions before we can destroy them. Whatever we may believe about a solution to the Kim problem, the Republic of Korea risks its existence whatever we do. I believe the decision about war or peace belongs to them.
Here I believe that the Joong Ang Article about command relationships is telling. It has been US policy since the creation of North and South Korea not to sell or allow the ROK forces to have offensive weapons. It has always been the United States that has supplied the heavy artillery and air power to defend the ROK. That is also why the US forces have been moved in stages south of the Han and out of initial range of the DPRK initial bombardment and assault. If the South Koreans, after many years of discussion and political discourse, decided to unify all military units in South Korea under a joint and South Korean lead command structure suddently decide to cancel that plan is a serious loss of face for the ROK. Not something they would do unless they were really scared.
This situation reminds me a lot of the "Tree War". The DPRK created a major incident in the DMZ and then backed off when we applied significant force. At no point in this current run of events has the United States applied or even threatened significant force. When we went to chop down that offending tree, there were some 100 aircraft airborne including two cells of B-52s. I broke more peacetime flying rules in the following two weeks than ever before in my career. Live MigCAPS do get your attention.
That is exactly what bothers me about this current mess. There are sufficient imponderables here to keep all of us guessing. I do not see Mr. Kim backing down. I do not see USFK or the ROK backing down. I do see the imminent possibility of a black hole into which all disappear and only chaos reappears.
God help us all.
Richard E. Radcliffe
Captain, USAF (Retired)
Russia's first Persian Gulf naval presence coordinated with Tehran
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report
May 26, 2009, 6:47 PM (GMT+02:00)
Russian warships are due to call Wednesday, May 27, at the Bahrain port of Manama, seat of the US Fifth Fleet in the Persian Gulf, DEBKAfile's military sources reveal. They will be following in the wake of the Russian vessels already docked at the Omani port of Salalah, the first to avail themselves of facilities at Gulf ports.
Their arrival is fully coordinated between the Russian and Iranian naval commands.
According to our sources, this is the first time a Russian flotilla will have taken on provisions and fuel at the same Gulf ports which hitherto serviced only the US Navy. Moscow has thus gained its first maritime foothold in the Persian Gulf.
The flotilla consists of four vessels from Russia's Pacific Fleet: The submarine fighter Admiral Panteleyev is due at Manama Wednesday, escorted by the refueling-supply ship Izhorai, The supply-battleship Irkut and the rescue craft BM-37 are already docked in Salalah.
DEBKAfile's military sources report that the Russians, like the Iranians, cover their stealthy advance into new waters by apparent movements for joining the international task force combating Somali pirates. While Iranian warships have taken up positions in the Gulf of Aden, the Russians are moving naval units southeast into the Persian Gulf.
Monday, May 25, the Iranian naval chief, Adm. Habibollah Sayyari, announced that six Iranian warships had been dispatched to "the international waters" of the Gulf of Aden in a "historically unprecedented move… to show its ability to confront any foreign threats." He did not bother to mention the pirates.
Russian and Iranian naval movements in the two strategic seas are clearly synchronized at the highest levels in Tehran and Moscow.
Our military analysts find Russia and Iran seizing the moment for supplanting positions held exclusively by the US and other western fleets. They are taking advantage of two developments:
1. The number of US warships maintained in the Gulf has been reduced to its lowest level in two years; President Obama quietly reduced their presence near Iran's shores in order to generate a positive atmosphere for the coming US dialogue with the Islamic Republic. Not a single US aircraft carrier is consequently to be found anywhere in the Gulf region.
2. Monday, May 25, President Nicolas Sarkozy inaugurated France's first naval facility in the Gulf in Abu Dhabi. The Russian and Iranian policy-makers see no reason why Moscow cannot set up a military presence in the region if Paris can.
North Korea warns South of military strike, no longer bound by 1953 Truce
DEBKAfile Special Report
May 27, 2009, 10:42 PM (GMT+02:00)
Pyongyang announced early Wednesday, May 27, that its withdrawal from the truce that ended the Korean War in 1953 means that "the Korean peninsulas will go back to a state of war." Thousands of US troops are deployed in the buffer zone since the war ended.
US spy planes reported that the plutonium separation plant at Yongbyon had been reactivated.
North Korea repeated that Seoul's decision to joint the US-led Proliferation Security Initiative was tantamount to a declaration of war. "Any hostile acts against our republic, including the stopping and searching of our peaceful vessels... will face an immediate and strong military strike in response," the North Korean statement said from the North's military representative at the border truce village of Panmunjom.
Firing another short-range missile in Japan's direction, its sixth since conducting a nuclear test Monday, Pyongyang said it could not guarantee the safety of shipping off its west coast. The test was unanimously condemned by the UN Security Council.
The White House then announced that US president Barack Obama and South Korean president Lee Myung-bak and Japanese prime minister Taro Aso had agreed to work together to support the Security Council resolution with concrete measures to curtail North Korea's nuclear and missile activities. To Aso, the US president pledged "unequivocal commitment to the defense of Japan and to maintaining peace and
Monday, DEBKAfile's military sources disclosed that North Korea and Iran are closely and secretly coordinated on their military nuclear programs.
Most of the missile guidance technology which gave the long-range Seijl 2 surface missile tested by Iran Wednesday, May 20, its bull's-eye accuracy came from Pyongyang. Iran's long-range missile test was carried out less than a month after North Korea's own internationally condemned missile test launch on April 5. Tehran may therefore be expected to be not far behind its nuclear partner in conducting its own first nuclear test.
Not surprisingly, therefore, Iran's president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad ruled out negotiations on its nuclear program.
SUDDENLY!!
ZionsCRY Commentary
I have reported WW3 building before. We have had a rest, a break, now it appears NK has lit the match.
Some things come out all at once and appear SUDDEN, when it is not actually that sudden. The single word
the LORD gave me a few years ago concerning the next attack on the USA was - SUDDENLY!
Duduman warned years ago, and I have carried his vision in ZionsCRY often.
Islam has threatened to destroy the USA. So has North Korea and other nations. When this occurs it
WILL NOT be sudden, but the deaf dumb and blind Americans will not have any idea its coming and will be in shock.
Now our enemy in thief is in our whitehouse. Our destruction has begun, yet most are still blind. All communications
could be cut off SUDDENLY. We could lose electricity SUDDENLY, at least in some areas. WHAT WILL YOU DO?
When the whirlwind passes, the wicked is no more, But the righteous has an everlasting foundation.
Proverbs 10:25
I have had friends tell me 'something' is very near, imminent destruction, catastrophe, a whirlwind of GOD's fury, a turning point.
How interesting Israel calls their military exercise 'turning point.' A friend in Israel told me this summer is expected to be
a summer of 'significant events.' Wilkerson said 'catastrophe.' Others use other words.
I do not regard as foolish the possibility that the NKorea nuclear blast shook Earth and caused some quakes in the
Pacific - possibly even the Atlantic. It is ONE Earth.
People, along with the REAL will always come the FALSE. Already someone emailed me a particular known
FALSE PROPHET is yapping, copying the news. May the LORD shut their mouth.
DONT EVEN READ WHAT FALSE PROPHETS SAY!!!
KOREAN WAR
May 27 N Korea threatens military action. I DO NOT disregard this warning. That sawed off runt hates
the USA and would love to strike us before he dies. Missiles from NKorea could hit Japan, Hawaii, western USA.
NK has withdrawn from the truce that ended the Korean War in 1953. Thousands of US troops are there - PRAY for THEM!
NK fired another missile in Japan's direction, its sixth since conducting a nuclear test Monday.
Obama pledged to the defense of Japan. That I have to see to believe. North Korea and Iran are closely and secretly
coordinated on their military nuclear programs. ITS NOT a SECRET! Media just are not reporting it!
Was it IRAN's missiles tested in North Korea? Yonhap reports MORE missiles about to be shot off from NK.
RUMORVILLE
May 28 I KNOW NEWS is bad enough without the rumors, of what may - or may not - be true, but information
is a base for action. THE FIRST ACTION must be - PRAYER! I have no way to confirm RUMORS, so if anyone who
reads this can email me confirmation, I would appreciate it. The U.S. military stationed in Korea is tense, believing an
incident is imminent. IF the USA was going to nuke them, I wish our troops would be pulled OUT FIRST!
But we dont have a being in the whitehouse who cares about them.
RUMOR - The United States sent B-2 Stealth Bombers from Whiteman AFB in Missouri to Andersen AFB in Guam.
This would put the nuclear-armed bombers well within striking distance of North Korea. The B2s often play on Guam, not that new.
Patriot Missile Air Defense systems being moved to South Korea. Japan has them in place.
ISRAEL upgraded the Patriot and calls it ARROW.
RUMOR - A nuclear strike on North Korea is planned, it will be over in 2 days and the two Koreas will be reunited with
Seoul the capitol. I would be SHOCKED if that is true, because it would NOT be over! It would be the match to fully ignite WW3.
FACT - In February 2003, US Joint Chief of Staff Gen. Richard Myers said North Korea is one of the targets for nuclear attacks.
RUMOR - The US Army has moved their alert level to DEFCON 2 due to the alarming situation in North Korea. The US Army
has over 35,000 (? several numbers) troops stationed in South Korea. The South Koreans and the Americans,
may be positioning themselves for a preemptive strike.
Standard peacetime protocol is DEFCON 5, descending in increasingly severe situations. DEFCON 1 represents
expectation of actual imminent attack. DEFCON 1 was feared because it would most likely precede an all-out nuclear war.
DEFCON 2 refers to increase in force readiness just below maximum readiness. The most notable time it was
declared was during the Cuban Missile Crisis.
(WATCHCON and THREATCON are not DEFCON. DEFCON refers to the over-all state between ALL the armed forces.)
PAKISTAN WAR
May 27 Car Bomb in Pakistan Kills at Least 33. Gunmen detonated a car bomb in Lahore,
killing about 33 people and wounding at least 250 others. Rescuers are searching the rubble of a police building.
Gunmen reportedly opened fire on guards before detonating a car bomb which flattened the emergency response
building at police HQ.
Taliban linked the attack. My guess is this looks more like Al Qaeda. Long story there. NWO operation.
4 men with rifles stepped from the car and opened fire, then set off a massive blast when security guards returned fire.
Lahore is the country's second-largest city and sits near the Indian border.
Russia in Persian Gulf
May 27 Russian warships are due in Bahrain where the US Fifth Fleet is in the Persian Gulf.
They will be following in the wake of the Russian vessels already docked at Oman.
Their arrival is coordinated with IRAN.
Iranian warships have taken up positions in the Gulf of Aden, the Russians are moving naval units southeast
into the Persian Gulf. Russian and Iranian naval movements in the two strategic seas are
synchronized at the highest levels in Tehran and Moscow. PAY ATTENTION!
Iran sent 6 warships to international waters.
Iran has secretly established a new base on an Indian Ocean shore, right under the nose of the US Navy.
The USAF has a Diego Garcia base in the Indian Ocean
Will Israel bomb IRAN in days?
0bama will object strenuously to an Israeli strike against Iran. The US military has at least one base inside Israel.
What would Obama do? Would he attack Israel from WITHIN should she bomb Iran? I wouldnt put it past him.
ISRAEL - Turning Point 3
Are you ready for war?
The largest war simulation in the history of Israel is set to take place across the country for 5 days, beginning with a
battle in Gaza on Sunday, May 31. Netanyahu stressed that this is a routine drill that was planned several months ago
and is held annually to test coordination between the civilian and military networks.
Israel preparing for war on at least 3 fronts. She expects simultaneous missile strikes from Syria, Hellzballah in Lebanon, Iran and Hamas "Palestinian" terrorists.
The name of this exercise will be called Turning Point 3.
Taliban taking control of Pakistan nuclear weapons is a big threat.
Russia and China are encouraging Islamic crazies in hopes of reaping the benefits of being the new super-power after the dust settles. (PAY ATTENTION!)
USA vs ISRAEL, NO longer allies
A Turning Point is here
What an awful section I must begin in ZionsCRY. That the USA is no longer a friend to Israel, but rather a pal to
her enemies and the enemies of the ONE TRUE GOD is certainly NOT fun for me. However ... HOWEVER ...
Bible prophecy WILL be fulfilled and the devil in the whitehouse is bringing that to pass rapidly.
GOD knew and told us long ago that ALL nations would forsake Israel.
Korea at DEFCON 1?
May 21, 2009
Based upon this article in Yahoo! and an article earlier today from Joonang Ilbo, I estimate that as a minimum US Forces, Korea has gone to DEFCON 1 and I suspect that Pacific Command is at DEFCON 2 as a minimum. I base this on my year of service in Korea from October 1975 to October, 1976 which time included the "Tree War". At that time I was an F-4 Weapons Systems Officer and squadron additional duty plans officer with the 80th Tactical Fighter Squadron (Juvats) at Kunsan Air Base.
Many of the articles I have read over the past few days indicate that the driving force behind this current "temper tantrum" is the United Nations Security Council rebuke for the Taepodong-2 test that failed to stage and crashed into the sea. Many other articles have opined that the real problem is succession. Their theory is that Mr. Kim, knowing his time on this Earth is severely limited after his last medical problem, is pressing for the guaranteed survival of the DPRK so he can name his successor.
At this point I'm not sure that the reason makes any difference. I believe we are at a point where if Kim backs down, he incurs a catastrophic loss of face. Add to that the cessation of the behind the scenes support from South Korea that occurred under the Roh government. Mr. Kim has also ejected the World Food Program from the DPRK. Since all information on North Korean agriculture appears to be classified at the SECRET level, we don't have access to the LANDSAT photos that would allow us to know the condition of agriculture in the DPRK. We don't even know if the KPA participated in the Spring Planting. Considering that they were supposedly on war alert for the Taepodong-2 launch, their participation is in serious question. If the KPA did NOT participate in the Spring Planting, that would be a strong indicator that the DPRK was not depending on this fall's harvest for food.
There are in the Soviet system only two times when you go to war: Summer and Winter. Spring and Fall occupy the army fully with planting or harvest. Why? Because the army has all of the vehicles needed to accomplish either without emptying the cities and sending them to the collectives. Since there is so much we do not know about the state of North Korean agriculture, we must make educated estimates of same. We do know that over the last five or six years, a significant amount of newly terraced land on the western hills was planted and then washed into the Yellow Sea by typhoons. This land at almost at once became arable and useless. There are few other areas in the DPRK where land may be adapted to agriculture that is not already in use and over use.
There is good reason why the United States does not destroy the various facilities of the DPRK that are causing so much consternation. The first reason, and the most important, is that the DPRK holds Seoul hostage. The Korean People's Army has about 11,000 artillery pieces and rocket launchers carefully concealed along and shortly behind the DMZ that target the area between the DMZ and the Han River. It is physically impossible to destroy these systems before they turn the heart of South Korea into rubble laden with chemical and biological agents. At worst for the South, these systems will have 24 hours to do their missions before we can destroy them. Whatever we may believe about a solution to the Kim problem, the Republic of Korea risks its existence whatever we do. I believe the decision about war or peace belongs to them.
Here I believe that the Joong Ang Article about command relationships is telling. It has been US policy since the creation of North and South Korea not to sell or allow the ROK forces to have offensive weapons. It has always been the United States that has supplied the heavy artillery and air power to defend the ROK. That is also why the US forces have been moved in stages south of the Han and out of initial range of the DPRK initial bombardment and assault. If the South Koreans, after many years of discussion and political discourse, decided to unify all military units in South Korea under a joint and South Korean lead command structure suddently decide to cancel that plan is a serious loss of face for the ROK. Not something they would do unless they were really scared.
This situation reminds me a lot of the "Tree War". The DPRK created a major incident in the DMZ and then backed off when we applied significant force. At no point in this current run of events has the United States applied or even threatened significant force. When we went to chop down that offending tree, there were some 100 aircraft airborne including two cells of B-52s. I broke more peacetime flying rules in the following two weeks than ever before in my career. Live MigCAPS do get your attention.
That is exactly what bothers me about this current mess. There are sufficient imponderables here to keep all of us guessing. I do not see Mr. Kim backing down. I do not see USFK or the ROK backing down. I do see the imminent possibility of a black hole into which all disappear and only chaos reappears.
God help us all.
Richard E. Radcliffe
Captain, USAF (Retired)
Russia's first Persian Gulf naval presence coordinated with Tehran
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report
May 26, 2009, 6:47 PM (GMT+02:00)
Russian warships are due to call Wednesday, May 27, at the Bahrain port of Manama, seat of the US Fifth Fleet in the Persian Gulf, DEBKAfile's military sources reveal. They will be following in the wake of the Russian vessels already docked at the Omani port of Salalah, the first to avail themselves of facilities at Gulf ports.
Their arrival is fully coordinated between the Russian and Iranian naval commands.
According to our sources, this is the first time a Russian flotilla will have taken on provisions and fuel at the same Gulf ports which hitherto serviced only the US Navy. Moscow has thus gained its first maritime foothold in the Persian Gulf.
The flotilla consists of four vessels from Russia's Pacific Fleet: The submarine fighter Admiral Panteleyev is due at Manama Wednesday, escorted by the refueling-supply ship Izhorai, The supply-battleship Irkut and the rescue craft BM-37 are already docked in Salalah.
DEBKAfile's military sources report that the Russians, like the Iranians, cover their stealthy advance into new waters by apparent movements for joining the international task force combating Somali pirates. While Iranian warships have taken up positions in the Gulf of Aden, the Russians are moving naval units southeast into the Persian Gulf.
Monday, May 25, the Iranian naval chief, Adm. Habibollah Sayyari, announced that six Iranian warships had been dispatched to "the international waters" of the Gulf of Aden in a "historically unprecedented move… to show its ability to confront any foreign threats." He did not bother to mention the pirates.
Russian and Iranian naval movements in the two strategic seas are clearly synchronized at the highest levels in Tehran and Moscow.
Our military analysts find Russia and Iran seizing the moment for supplanting positions held exclusively by the US and other western fleets. They are taking advantage of two developments:
1. The number of US warships maintained in the Gulf has been reduced to its lowest level in two years; President Obama quietly reduced their presence near Iran's shores in order to generate a positive atmosphere for the coming US dialogue with the Islamic Republic. Not a single US aircraft carrier is consequently to be found anywhere in the Gulf region.
2. Monday, May 25, President Nicolas Sarkozy inaugurated France's first naval facility in the Gulf in Abu Dhabi. The Russian and Iranian policy-makers see no reason why Moscow cannot set up a military presence in the region if Paris can.
North Korea warns South of military strike, no longer bound by 1953 Truce
DEBKAfile Special Report
May 27, 2009, 10:42 PM (GMT+02:00)
Pyongyang announced early Wednesday, May 27, that its withdrawal from the truce that ended the Korean War in 1953 means that "the Korean peninsulas will go back to a state of war." Thousands of US troops are deployed in the buffer zone since the war ended.
US spy planes reported that the plutonium separation plant at Yongbyon had been reactivated.
North Korea repeated that Seoul's decision to joint the US-led Proliferation Security Initiative was tantamount to a declaration of war. "Any hostile acts against our republic, including the stopping and searching of our peaceful vessels... will face an immediate and strong military strike in response," the North Korean statement said from the North's military representative at the border truce village of Panmunjom.
Firing another short-range missile in Japan's direction, its sixth since conducting a nuclear test Monday, Pyongyang said it could not guarantee the safety of shipping off its west coast. The test was unanimously condemned by the UN Security Council.
The White House then announced that US president Barack Obama and South Korean president Lee Myung-bak and Japanese prime minister Taro Aso had agreed to work together to support the Security Council resolution with concrete measures to curtail North Korea's nuclear and missile activities. To Aso, the US president pledged "unequivocal commitment to the defense of Japan and to maintaining peace and
Monday, DEBKAfile's military sources disclosed that North Korea and Iran are closely and secretly coordinated on their military nuclear programs.
Most of the missile guidance technology which gave the long-range Seijl 2 surface missile tested by Iran Wednesday, May 20, its bull's-eye accuracy came from Pyongyang. Iran's long-range missile test was carried out less than a month after North Korea's own internationally condemned missile test launch on April 5. Tehran may therefore be expected to be not far behind its nuclear partner in conducting its own first nuclear test.
Not surprisingly, therefore, Iran's president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad ruled out negotiations on its nuclear program.
posted by shummer60 at Thursday, May 28, 2009
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